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Journal of Science and Engineering Papers

Doi: https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.24.1000001

ISSN: 3006-3191 (Online)

Science and Engineering for the Comprehensive Futures                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Call for Article

Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation

Volume: 02
Issue: 01
Views: 162
Original Research Article
Engineering
Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
1Department of Statistics, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology University(HSTU), Dinajpur-5200, Bangladesh

2Department of CSE, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology University(HSTU), Dinajpur-5200, Bangladesh

3Department of Economics, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur, Bangladesh
Year: 2025
Page: 113-117

This work is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

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Downloads : 162

Abstract

Burning fossil fuels like coal, oil, and natural gas releases significant CO2, driving carbon emissions in electricity production. This contributes to global warming, leading to climate change, extreme weather, rising sea levels, and harm to ecosystems and human health. Achieving zero emissions requires transitioning to low-carbon energy sources. This study uses various Machine Learning (ML) models for predicting low carbon electricity generation additionally eXpalinalbe Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to elucidate how ML model works and suggest some important factor contributing to the models outcome. Among several ML models RF outperforms other by achieving MSE of 2.782, RMSE of 2.782, MAE of 1.443 and R2 of 99.3%. Also GBM and XGB performed closely as RF. When applying XAI tools like SHAP and Shapash to RF it reveals some important factors such as Electricity from renewables (TWh), Eectricity from fussil fuels (TWh) Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption (%), and Electricity from nuclear. Which are crucial for future energy planning and policy decisions. Future study can use a more extensive data set, investigate economic aspects, and include real-time data to enhance predictive model performance

How to Cite

Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
I.H. 2024. Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation. Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
January 28, 2025.
  Doi: 10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation.
  journal 2025, 28.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
I.H. 2024. Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation. .Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
28 (1).
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
I.H. Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation. Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
2025.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
2024." Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation." Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
28 (1).
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
I.H. 2024. " Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation." Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
28 (1).
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
, "Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation". .Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
  journal Jan, 2025.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
"Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation." Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
Jan, 2025.
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
"Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation." Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
(Jan 28, 2025).
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.
Md Readion Islam1, Mahmudul Hasan2*, Md Amir Hamja1, Kanij Fatema2, Most Mozakkera Jahan3
Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Sustainable Power Generation. Journal of Science and Engineering Papers . 
  journal [ Internet ] 28 Jan, 2025.
  [ Cited 28 Jan, 2025 ]
28 (1).
  https://doi.org/10.62275/josep.25.1000018.

Keywords

sustainable Power Generation, machine Learning, interpretable AI, forecasting Power Generation

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